Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

Finished
0 - 1
09 May 2025
  • Álvaro García

Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.1 - 1.3. Rayo Vallecano are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.1 : 1.3

Match Outcome Probability

31.6%
26.6%
41.8%
Las Palmas Win
Draw
Rayo Vallecano Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Las Palmas Goal Distribution

28.4%
0
35.1%
1
20.4%
2
8.0%
3
3.0%
4+

Rayo Vallecano Goal Distribution

23.5%
0
33.7%
1
23.8%
2
10.9%
3
5.1%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 73.2%
Over 2.5 48.2%
Over 3.5 25.8%
Over 4.5 13.6%
Under 1.5 26.8%
Under 2.5 51.8%
Under 3.5 74.2%
Under 4.5 86.4%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Las Palmas logo Las Palmas Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Mika Mármol 7.5
90
4 Álex Suárez 7.0
70
5 Javi Muñoz 6.6
70
10 Alberto Moleiro 7.7
90
13 Dinko Horkaš 6.8
90
16 Oliver McBurnie 6.8
90
18 Viti Rozada 7.5
90
21 Stefan Bajčetić 7.0
81
24 Adnan Januzaj 6.7
70
28 Juanma Herzog 7.0
90
29 Dário Essugo 7.0
57

Bench

1 Jasper Cillessen N/A -
2 Marvin Park 6.3
33
6 Andy Pelmard N/A -
8 José Campaña 7.0
20
9 Marc Cardona N/A -
11 Benito Ramírez N/A -
12 Enzo Loiodice N/A -
14 Manu Fuster 6.8
9
17 Jaime Mata 6.8
20
19 Sandro Ramírez 6.9
20
23 Álex Muñoz N/A -
30 Álvaro Killane N/A -

Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Andrei Rațiu 7.0
78
3 Josep Chavarría 7.4
90
5 Aridane Hernández 8.1
90
7 Isi Palazón 8.0
90
13 Augusto Batalla 7.2
90
17 Unai López 7.0
59
18 Álvaro García 7.5
83
20 Iván Balliu 7.8
90
21 Adrián Embarba 6.5
59
23 Óscar Valentín 6.8
78
24 Florian Lejeune 8.2
90

Bench

1 Dani Cárdenas N/A -
4 Pedro Díaz 6.9
31
8 Óscar Trejo N/A -
12 Sergi Guardiola N/A -
14 Sergio Camello N/A -
15 Gerard Gumbau 6.6
12
19 Jorge de Frutos 7.0
31
22 Alfonso Espino 6.8
12
26 Marco de las Sias N/A -
27 Pelayo Fernández 6.8
7
28 Etienne Eto'o Pineda N/A -
30 Juanpe N/A -

Match Statistics

0.7 Expected Goals (xG) 1.1
41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
8 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Oliver McBurnie
4
Álvaro García
4
Juanma Herzog
3
Isi Palazón
3
Alberto Moleiro
2
Unai López
2
Florian Lejeune
2
Dário Essugo
1
Andrei Rațiu
1
Adrián Embarba
1
Óscar Valentín
1
Key Passes
Isi Palazón
4
Mika Mármol
2
Alberto Moleiro
2
Adnan Januzaj
2
Andrei Rațiu
2
Josep Chavarría
2
Oliver McBurnie
1
Viti Rozada
1
Iván Balliu
1
Tackles Won
Iván Balliu
4
Mika Mármol
3
Unai López
3
Viti Rozada
2
Dário Essugo
2
Josep Chavarría
2
Aridane Hernández
2
Alberto Moleiro
1
Stefan Bajčetić
1
Adnan Januzaj
1
Adrián Embarba
1
Interceptions
Javi Muñoz
2
Alberto Moleiro
2
Viti Rozada
2
Florian Lejeune
2
Mika Mármol
1
Oliver McBurnie
1
Stefan Bajčetić
1
Juanma Herzog
1
Dário Essugo
1
Aridane Hernández
1
Adrián Embarba
1