Toulouse vs Lens

Ligue 1

Toulouse
  • Y. Gboho
Finished
1 - 1
10 May 2025
Lens
  • Neil El Aynaoui

Toulouse vs Lens Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.1 - 1.5. Lens are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.1 : 1.5

Match Outcome Probability

27.3%
25.2%
47.5%
Toulouse Win
Draw
Lens Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Toulouse Goal Distribution

28.3%
0
34.1%
1
19.6%
2
7.4%
3
2.9%
4+

Lens Goal Distribution

19.3%
0
31.3%
1
25.7%
2
13.1%
3
7.8%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 76.5%
Over 2.5 52.1%
Over 3.5 30.2%
Over 4.5 16.8%
Under 1.5 23.5%
Under 2.5 47.9%
Under 3.5 69.8%
Under 4.5 83.2%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Toulouse logo Toulouse Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
8 V. Sierro 7.0
90
9 F. Magri 6.5
70
10 Y. Gboho 7.4
90
12 W. Kamanzi 6.5
70
13 J. King 7.2
90
15 A. Dønnum 7.1
90
19 D. Sidibé 6.8
90
23 C. Cásseres 7.4
90
29 J. Canvot 7.0
90
50 G. Restes 6.3
90
3 M. McKenzie 7.7
90

Bench

6 Ü. Akdağ N/A -
7 Z. Aboukhlal 7.3
20
16 K. Haug N/A -
17 G. Suazo 6.9
20
21 M. Zajc N/A -
22 R. Messali N/A -
37 E. Zuliani N/A -
39 M. Saka N/A -
80 S. Babicka N/A -

Lens logo Lens Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Deiver Machado 7.0
68
14 Facundo Medina 6.7
90
18 Andy Diouf 6.7
90
19 Goduine Koyalipou 6.8
81
23 Neil El Aynaoui 7.8
90
24 Jonathan Gradit 7.1
90
26 Nampalys Mendy 6.8
90
27 Abdulay Juma Bah 7.2
90
28 Adrien Thomasson 7.3
76
30 Mathew Ryan 7.5
90
34 Tom Pouilly 7.1
81

Bench

4 Nidal Čelik N/A -
7 Florian Sotoca 6.6
9
9 Martín Satriano 6.8
14
11 Angelo Fulgini N/A -
20 Malang Sarr N/A -
21 Anass Zaroury 6.9
22
22 Wesley Saïd 6.7
9
40 Roman Karolewicz N/A -
60 Ilan Jourdren N/A -

Match Statistics

1.2 Expected Goals (xG) 0.9
40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
17 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Goduine Koyalipou
3
V. Sierro
2
J. King
2
Andy Diouf
2
Neil El Aynaoui
2
Tom Pouilly
2
F. Magri
1
Y. Gboho
1
A. Dønnum
1
J. Canvot
1
Nampalys Mendy
1
Key Passes
A. Dønnum
2
Neil El Aynaoui
2
Adrien Thomasson
2
Y. Gboho
1
J. King
1
C. Cásseres
1
M. McKenzie
1
Deiver Machado
1
Abdulay Juma Bah
1
Tackles Won
C. Cásseres
3
Tom Pouilly
3
J. King
2
Y. Gboho
1
A. Dønnum
1
J. Canvot
1
Deiver Machado
1
Andy Diouf
1
Neil El Aynaoui
1
Jonathan Gradit
1
Nampalys Mendy
1
Abdulay Juma Bah
1
Interceptions
Neil El Aynaoui
2
Y. Gboho
1
J. King
1
C. Cásseres
1
J. Canvot
1
Deiver Machado
1
Abdulay Juma Bah
1
Adrien Thomasson
1
Tom Pouilly
1