Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie

Finished
0 - 3
11 May 2025
  • Brayann Pereira
  • Sami Ouaissa
  • Sontje Hansen

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.9 - 0.7. Ajax are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.9 : 0.7

Match Outcome Probability

66.1%
20.7%
13.2%
Ajax Win
Draw
NEC Nijmegen Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Ajax Goal Distribution

12.9%
0
26.7%
1
27.2%
2
17.8%
3
14.3%
4+

NEC Nijmegen Goal Distribution

39.5%
0
29.8%
1
11.9%
2
3.4%
3
1.2%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 4.5 20.4%
Over 1.5 76.0%
Over 2.5 52.8%
Over 3.5 31.8%
Under 4.5 79.5%
Under 1.5 24.0%
Under 2.5 47.2%
Under 3.5 68.2%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Ajax logo Ajax Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen N/A
0
3 Anton Gaaei 6.4
90
4 Jorrel Hato 6.3
73
6 Jordan Henderson 7.6
90
8 Kenneth Taylor 6.6
73
18 Davy Klaassen 7.3
90
20 Bertrand Traoré 7.1
59
22 Remko Pasveer 6.3
90
23 Steven Berghuis 7.6
90
24 Daniele Rugani 7.1
59
25 Wout Weghorst 7.2
90
37 Josip Å utalo 7.1
46

Bench

2 Lucas Rosa N/A -
5 Owen Wijndal 6.8
17
9 Brian Brobbey N/A -
11 Mika Godts 7.0
31
12 Jay Gorter N/A -
13 Ahmetcan Kaplan N/A -
16 Matheus N/A -
28 Kian Fitz-Jim 6.3
31
29 Christian Kjelder Rasmussen N/A -
31 Jorthy Mokio 6.5
17
36 Dies Janse 6.5
44
44 Youri Regeer N/A -

NEC Nijmegen logo NEC Nijmegen Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
4 Iván Márquez 7.3
90
18 Koki Ogawa N/A
0
71 Dirk Proper N/A
0
5 Thomas Ouwejan 6.7
59
2 Brayann Pereira 7.7
80
3 Philippe Sandler 7.6
80
10 Sontje Hansen 7.7
87
22 Robin Roefs 7.6
90
23 Kodai Sano 8.0
90
24 Calvin Verdonk 7.8
90
25 Sami Ouaissa 7.5
90
30 Bryan Linssen 7.0
80
32 Vito van Crooij 6.8
90

Bench

14 Lars Olden Larsen N/A -
8 Argyrios Darelas N/A -
1 Stijn van Gassel N/A -
6 Mees Hoedemakers N/A -
9 Kento Shiogai 6.4
10
11 Başar Önal 6.8
31
19 Lefteris Lyratzis 7.3
10
20 Lasse Schöne N/A
3
31 Rijk Janse N/A -
33 Yousri Sbai 6.6
10

Match Statistics

2.9 Expected Goals (xG) 1.0
65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
12 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Bertrand Traoré
7
Kenneth Taylor
3
Wout Weghorst
3
Daniele Rugani
2
Sontje Hansen
2
Bryan Linssen
2
Jordan Henderson
1
Davy Klaassen
1
Steven Berghuis
1
Thomas Ouwejan
1
Brayann Pereira
1
Sami Ouaissa
1
Key Passes
Jordan Henderson
3
Steven Berghuis
3
Wout Weghorst
3
Davy Klaassen
2
Sontje Hansen
2
Calvin Verdonk
2
Anton Gaaei
1
Kenneth Taylor
1
Philippe Sandler
1
Kodai Sano
1
Sami Ouaissa
1
Tackles Won
Calvin Verdonk
4
Kenneth Taylor
1
Davy Klaassen
1
Daniele Rugani
1
Philippe Sandler
1
Kodai Sano
1
Sami Ouaissa
1
Bryan Linssen
1
Interceptions
Philippe Sandler
2
Kodai Sano
2
Anton Gaaei
1
Davy Klaassen
1
Daniele Rugani
1
Josip Å utalo
1
Iván Márquez
1
Calvin Verdonk
1