Brest vs Montpellier

Ligue 1

  • R. Del Castillo
Finished
1 - 0
04 May 2025

Brest vs Montpellier Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.8 - 1.0. Brest are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.7 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.8 : 1.0

Match Outcome Probability

55.8%
23.5%
20.7%
Brest Win
Draw
Montpellier Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Brest Goal Distribution

14.3%
0
29.0%
1
26.4%
2
16.5%
3
11.6%
4+

Montpellier Goal Distribution

30.9%
0
31.8%
1
17.0%
2
6.4%
3
2.6%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 79.5%
Over 2.5 56.8%
Over 3.5 33.1%
Over 4.5 20.2%
Under 1.5 20.6%
Under 2.5 43.2%
Under 3.5 66.9%
Under 4.5 79.8%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Brest logo Brest Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
5 B. Chardonnet 7.8
90
7 K. Lala 7.5
90
10 R. Del Castillo 7.8
68
19 L. Ajorque 7.6
81
20 P. Lees-Melou 8.5
90
22 M. Haïdara 7.9
90
26 Mathias Pereira Lage 7.5
90
40 M. Bizot 7.0
90
45 M. Camara 7.7
87
3 A. Ndiaye 7.8
90
9 K. Doumbia 7.0
68

Bench

2 B. Locko N/A -
6 E. Fernandes N/A -
8 H. Magnetti 6.5
22
12 L. Zogbé N/A -
14 Mama Baldé 6.5
9
17 A. Sima 6.8
22
21 R. Faivre N/A -
28 J. Martin N/A
3
30 G. Coudert N/A -

Montpellier logo Montpellier Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
12 Jordan Ferri 6.5
56
17 Théo Sainte-Luce 6.7
90
19 Rabby Nzingoula 7.3
90
21 Lucas Mincarelli 7.3
90
22 Khalil Fayad 6.8
90
27 Becir Omeragic  6.9
90
29 Enzo Tchato Mbiayi 6.9
46
40 Benjamin Lecomte  6.9
90
41 Junior Ndiaye 6.7
66
47 Yael Mouanga 7.2
75
70 Tanguy Coulibaly 7.0
66

Bench

2 Bamo Meïté  6.7
15
4 Kiki Kouyaté N/A -
10 Wahbi Khazri 6.6
24
11 Téji Savanier 6.8
24
13 Joris Chotard 7.0
34
16 Dimitry Bertaud N/A -
44 Théo Chennahi N/A -
49 Wilfried Chancy Ndollo Bille 6.8
44
77 Falaye Sacko N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
14 Fouls 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 3

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Mathias Pereira Lage
6
L. Ajorque
3
Khalil Fayad
3
R. Del Castillo
2
P. Lees-Melou
2
M. Camara
2
A. Ndiaye
1
Lucas Mincarelli
1
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
1
Tanguy Coulibaly
1
Key Passes
R. Del Castillo
3
K. Lala
2
L. Ajorque
2
P. Lees-Melou
2
Mathias Pereira Lage
2
M. Camara
2
Théo Sainte-Luce
1
Rabby Nzingoula
1
Khalil Fayad
1
Junior Ndiaye
1
Tanguy Coulibaly
1
Tackles Won
P. Lees-Melou
4
Rabby Nzingoula
4
M. Haïdara
3
A. Ndiaye
3
B. Chardonnet
2
L. Ajorque
2
M. Camara
2
Tanguy Coulibaly
2
Mathias Pereira Lage
1
K. Doumbia
1
Yael Mouanga
1
Interceptions
M. Haïdara
2
M. Camara
2
B. Chardonnet
1
K. Lala
1
K. Doumbia
1
Théo Sainte-Luce
1
Rabby Nzingoula
1
Lucas Mincarelli
1
Khalil Fayad
1
Becir Omeragic 
1
Yael Mouanga
1
Tanguy Coulibaly
1