RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München

Bundesliga

  • Benjamin Šeško
  • Lukas Klostermann
  • Yussuf Poulsen
Finished
3 - 3
03 May 2025
  • Eric Dier
  • Leroy Sané
  • Michael Olise

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.1 - 1.8. FC Bayern München are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.9 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.1 : 1.8

Match Outcome Probability

20.1%
22.2%
41.8%
RB Leipzig Win
Draw
FC Bayern München Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

RB Leipzig Goal Distribution

26.2%
0
31.3%
1
19.1%
2
7.4%
3
3.2%
4+

FC Bayern München Goal Distribution

14.2%
0
26.9%
1
25.6%
2
17.4%
3
13.0%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 3.5 38.1%
Over 4.5 23.7%
Over 1.5 81.9%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Under 3.5 61.9%
Under 4.5 76.3%
Under 1.5 18.1%
Under 2.5 38.9%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

RB Leipzig logo RB Leipzig Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
8 Amadou Haidara 6.8
69
11 Loïs Openda 6.8
86
13 Nicolas Seiwald 6.5
90
10 Xavi Simons 8.0
90
21 Kosta Nedeljković 6.1
86
16 Lukas Klostermann 7.4
90
22 David Raum 7.0
90
23 Castello Lukeba 6.7
90
26 Maarten Vandevoordt 6.5
90
30 Benjamin Šeško 7.3
69
44 Kevin Kampl 6.4
78

Bench

3 Lutsharel Geertruida N/A
4
7 Antonio Nusa N/A
4
9 Yussuf Poulsen 7.4
21
14 Christoph Baumgartner N/A -
17 Ridle Baku 6.6
12
18 Arthur Vermeeren 6.4
21
25 Leopold Zingerle N/A -
27 Tidiam Gomis N/A -
45 Jonathan Norbye N/A -

FC Bayern München logo FC Bayern München Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
40 Jonas Urbig 5.7
90
45 Aleksandar Pavlović 7.0
90
6 Joshua Kimmich 8.5
90
7 Serge Gnabry 7.2
88
10 Leroy Sané 8.3
90
15 Eric Dier 7.2
90
17 Michael Olise 7.8
90
23 Sacha Boey 6.5
61
25 Thomas Müller 7.1
61
27 Konrad Laimer 6.8
90
44 Josip Stanišić 7.0
90

Bench

1 Manuel Neuer N/A -
8 Leon Goretzka 6.9
29
11 Kingsley Coman 6.4
29
16 João Palhinha N/A
2
18 Daniel Peretz N/A -
24 Gabriel Vidović N/A -
41 Jonah Kusi-Asare N/A -
46 Lennart Karl N/A -

Match Statistics

0.7 Expected Goals (xG) 1.8
38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
9 Fouls 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Michael Olise
4
Serge Gnabry
3
Amadou Haidara
2
Benjamin Šeško
2
Leroy Sané
2
Thomas Müller
2
Konrad Laimer
2
Loïs Openda
1
Xavi Simons
1
Lukas Klostermann
1
Aleksandar Pavlović
1
Joshua Kimmich
1
Eric Dier
1
Sacha Boey
1
Key Passes
Joshua Kimmich
5
Serge Gnabry
3
Leroy Sané
3
Michael Olise
3
Xavi Simons
2
Konrad Laimer
2
Loïs Openda
1
David Raum
1
Benjamin Šeško
1
Thomas Müller
1
Tackles Won
David Raum
5
Amadou Haidara
2
Kosta Nedeljković
2
Leroy Sané
2
Nicolas Seiwald
1
Lukas Klostermann
1
Aleksandar Pavlović
1
Joshua Kimmich
1
Eric Dier
1
Sacha Boey
1
Konrad Laimer
1
Josip Stanišić
1
Interceptions
Joshua Kimmich
2
Xavi Simons
1
Serge Gnabry
1
Leroy Sané
1
Konrad Laimer
1