Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga

  • Karim Adeyemi (2)
  • Serhou Guirassy (2)
Finished
4 - 0
03 May 2025

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 2.0 - 0.8. Borussia Dortmund are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.9 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

2.0 : 0.8

Match Outcome Probability

64.5%
19.3%
16.2%
Borussia Dortmund Win
Draw
VfL Wolfsburg Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Borussia Dortmund Goal Distribution

10.5%
0
24.3%
1
26.5%
2
20.1%
3
16.8%
4+

VfL Wolfsburg Goal Distribution

29.9%
0
30.3%
1
15.9%
2
5.2%
3
1.9%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 82.7%
Over 2.5 62.3%
Over 3.5 40.3%
Over 4.5 25.7%
Under 1.5 17.3%
Under 2.5 37.8%
Under 3.5 59.7%
Under 4.5 74.3%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Borussia Dortmund logo Borussia Dortmund Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Gregor Kobel 7.1
90
3 Waldemar Anton 8.0
90
5 Ramy Bensebaini 8.2
90
25 Niklas Süle 7.2
90
26 Julian Ryerson 7.1
90
43 Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 6.7
67
8 Felix Nmecha 7.3
76
9 Serhou Guirassy 8.6
82
10 Julian Brandt 7.9
76
13 Pascal Groß 7.7
82
24 Daniel Svensson 7.0
90

Bench

2 Yan Couto N/A -
6 Salih Özcan N/A -
7 Giovanni Reyna N/A -
16 Julien Duranville 6.7
14
17 Carney Chukwuemeka 6.7
8
20 Marcel Sabitzer 6.5
8
23 Emre Can 6.9
14
27 Karim Adeyemi 8.7
23
33 Alexander Meyer N/A -

VfL Wolfsburg logo VfL Wolfsburg Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Kamil Grabara 5.8
90
2 Kilian Fischer 6.5
76
4 Konstantinos Koulierakis 6.6
90
6 Aster Vranckx 7.0
90
7 Andreas Skov Olsen 6.7
90
10 Lukas Nmecha 7.0
70
11 Tiago Tomás 6.9
70
18 Denis Vavro 6.5
76
21 Joakim Mæhle 6.3
90
24 Bence Dárdai 7.0
90
39 Patrick Wimmer 6.9
70

Bench

9 Mohamed El Amine Amoura 6.8
20
23 Jonas Wind 6.7
20
5 Mads Roerslev 6.8
14
12 Pavao Pervan N/A -
16 Jakub Kamiński N/A -
17 Kevin Behrens N/A -
19 Lovro Majer 7.1
20
31 Yannick Gerhardt N/A -
33 David Odogu 6.7
14

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
13 Fouls 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Serhou Guirassy
3
Konstantinos Koulierakis
3
Felix Nmecha
1
Julian Brandt
1
Pascal Groß
1
Daniel Svensson
1
Andreas Skov Olsen
1
Lukas Nmecha
1
Tiago Tomás
1
Joakim Mæhle
1
Patrick Wimmer
1
Key Passes
Julian Ryerson
3
Julian Brandt
2
Pascal Groß
2
Kilian Fischer
2
Andreas Skov Olsen
2
Ramy Bensebaini
1
Tiago Tomás
1
Bence Dárdai
1
Patrick Wimmer
1
Tackles Won
Ramy Bensebaini
3
Waldemar Anton
2
Kilian Fischer
2
Patrick Wimmer
2
Niklas Süle
1
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
1
Felix Nmecha
1
Pascal Groß
1
Konstantinos Koulierakis
1
Aster Vranckx
1
Tiago Tomás
1
Joakim Mæhle
1
Bence Dárdai
1
Interceptions
Waldemar Anton
5
Felix Nmecha
3
Aster Vranckx
3
Patrick Wimmer
3
Ramy Bensebaini
1
Daniel Svensson
1
Joakim Mæhle
1
Bence Dárdai
1