VfL Bochum 1848 vs FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga

  • Gerrit Holtmann
Finished
1 - 4
10 May 2025
  • Jonathan Burkardt
  • Nadiem Amiri
  • Paul Nebel
  • Phillipp Mwene

VfL Bochum 1848 vs FSV Mainz 05 Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.3 - 1.4. FSV Mainz 05 are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.7 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.3 : 1.4

Match Outcome Probability

35.8%
25.9%
38.4%
VfL Bochum 1848 Win
Draw
FSV Mainz 05 Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

VfL Bochum 1848 Goal Distribution

24.3%
0
32.0%
1
22.0%
2
10.7%
3
5.6%
4+

FSV Mainz 05 Goal Distribution

22.2%
0
32.1%
1
24.1%
2
10.4%
3
5.8%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 77.3%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Over 3.5 31.5%
Over 4.5 17.8%
Under 1.5 22.7%
Under 2.5 46.4%
Under 3.5 68.5%
Under 4.5 82.2%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

VfL Bochum 1848 logo VfL Bochum 1848 Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Timo Horn 6.1
90
5 Bernardo 6.3
90
6 Ibrahima Sissoko 7.3
71
9 Myron Boadu 6.2
90
11 Giorgos Masouras 7.0
90
14 Tim Oermann 7.0
72
15 Felix Passlack 6.6
46
17 Tom Krauß 6.5
46
19 Matúš Bero 6.4
46
20 Ivan Ordets 7.4
90
32 Maximilian Wittek 7.1
90

Bench

2 Cristian Gamboa 6.2
18
4 Erhan Mašović N/A -
8 Anthony Losilla 6.7
19
10 Dani de Wit 7.0
44
13 Jakov Medić N/A -
21 Gerrit Holtmann 7.8
44
24 Mats Pannewig 6.5
44
27 Patrick Drewes N/A -
29 Moritz Broschinski N/A -

FSV Mainz 05 logo FSV Mainz 05 Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 L. Rieß 7.4
90
2 Phillipp Mwene 7.9
61
6 Kaishu Sano 7.4
90
7 Jae-sung Lee 7.6
61
8 Paul Nebel 8.5
90
16 Stefan Bell 7.4
88
18 Nadiem Amiri 8.3
90
19 Anthony Caci 7.1
90
21 Danny da Costa 6.9
90
25 Andreas Hanche-Olsen 7.6
90
29 Jonathan Burkardt 7.7
90

Bench

5 Maxim Leitsch N/A -
9 Arnaud Nordin N/A -
11 A. Sieb N/A -
14 Hyun-Seok Hong 7.0
29
15 L. Maloney N/A
1
22 N. Veratschnig N/A
2
30 Silvan Widmer 6.5
29
33 Daniel Batz N/A -
44 N. Weiper 7.2
1

Match Statistics

0.8 Expected Goals (xG) 2.0
44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
9 Fouls 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 3

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Jonathan Burkardt
7
Paul Nebel
4
Giorgos Masouras
3
Phillipp Mwene
2
Kaishu Sano
2
Stefan Bell
2
Nadiem Amiri
2
Ibrahima Sissoko
1
Myron Boadu
1
Ivan Ordets
1
Danny da Costa
1
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
1
Key Passes
Paul Nebel
4
Maximilian Wittek
3
Anthony Caci
3
Myron Boadu
2
Jae-sung Lee
2
Nadiem Amiri
2
Matúš Bero
1
Danny da Costa
1
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
1
Tackles Won
Matúš Bero
2
Phillipp Mwene
2
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
2
Bernardo
1
Giorgos Masouras
1
Tim Oermann
1
Tom Krauß
1
Maximilian Wittek
1
Stefan Bell
1
Nadiem Amiri
1
Anthony Caci
1
Danny da Costa
1
Jonathan Burkardt
1
Interceptions
Ivan Ordets
4
Danny da Costa
3
Tom Krauß
2
Stefan Bell
2
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
2
Giorgos Masouras
1
Tim Oermann
1
Felix Passlack
1
Kaishu Sano
1
Paul Nebel
1
Anthony Caci
1