Monza vs Atalanta

Serie A

Finished
0 - 4
04 May 2025
  • Ademola Lookman
  • Charles De Ketelaere (2)
  • Marco Brescianini

Monza vs Atalanta Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.6 - 1.9. Atalanta are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.6 : 1.9

Match Outcome Probability

11.5%
20.5%
67.9%
Monza Win
Draw
Atalanta Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Monza Goal Distribution

44.6%
0
29.0%
1
9.9%
2
2.0%
3
0.4%
4+

Atalanta Goal Distribution

14.5%
0
27.0%
1
27.0%
2
17.2%
3
14.1%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 73.8%
Over 2.5 48.9%
Over 3.5 26.6%
Over 4.5 17.3%
Under 1.5 26.2%
Under 2.5 51.1%
Under 3.5 73.4%
Under 4.5 82.7%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Monza logo Monza Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
5 Luca Caldirola 6.6
16
7 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro 7.6
90
10 Gianluca Caprari 7.1
71
11 Gaetano Castrovilli 6.5
46
13 Pedro Pereira 6.5
46
19 Samuele Birindelli 6.6
90
21 Semuel Pizzignacco 6.0
90
22 Tomás Palacios 6.6
90
42 Alessandro Bianco 7.0
90
47 Dany Mota 7.3
90
77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos 7.1
76

Bench

2 Arvid Brorsson 6.8
74
3 Stefan Leković 6.6
44
8 Kacper Urbański N/A -
12 Stefano Sensi N/A -
20 Omari Forson 6.7
44
33 Danilo D'Ambrosio N/A -
37 Andrea Petagna N/A -
55 Kevin Martins N/A -
56 Andrea Vailati N/A -
57 Leonardo Colombo N/A -
69 Andrea Mazza N/A -
80 Samuele Vignato 6.7
19
84 Patrick Ciurria 6.7
14

Atalanta logo Atalanta Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Odilon Kossounou 6.8
46
4 Isak Hien 7.3
90
11 Ademola Lookman 8.1
80
13 Éderson 7.1
90
15 Marten de Roon 7.3
90
16 Raoul Bellanova 6.9
90
17 Charles De Ketelaere 8.6
64
19 Berat Djimsiti 7.0
76
29 Marco Carnesecchi 8.4
90
32 Mateo Retegui 8.3
76
77 Davide Zappacosta 6.6
90

Bench

2 Rafael Tolói 6.7
44
6 Ibrahim Sulemana N/A -
7 Juan Cuadrado 6.9
14
8 Mario Pašalić 7.2
26
22 Matteo Ruggeri N/A -
24 Lazar Samardžić N/A -
28 Rui Patrício N/A -
31 Francesco Rossi N/A -
44 Marco Brescianini 7.5
10
70 Daniel Maldini 6.4
14

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
9 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Mateo Retegui
4
Gianluca Caprari
3
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
3
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
2
Samuele Birindelli
2
Isak Hien
2
Ademola Lookman
2
Charles De Ketelaere
2
Tomás Palacios
1
Dany Mota
1
Éderson
1
Davide Zappacosta
1
Key Passes
Mateo Retegui
3
Samuele Birindelli
2
Alessandro Bianco
2
Ademola Lookman
2
Charles De Ketelaere
2
Gianluca Caprari
1
Gaetano Castrovilli
1
Pedro Pereira
1
Dany Mota
1
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
1
Marten de Roon
1
Raoul Bellanova
1
Berat Djimsiti
1
Tackles Won
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
2
Tomás Palacios
2
Berat Djimsiti
2
Pedro Pereira
1
Alessandro Bianco
1
Éderson
1
Marten de Roon
1
Interceptions
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
2
Tomás Palacios
2
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
2
Isak Hien
2
Marten de Roon
2
Gianluca Caprari
1
Pedro Pereira
1
Odilon Kossounou
1
Éderson
1