Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia

J-League

  • Douglas Tanque
  • Koya Kitagawa
Finished
2 - 2
11 May 2025
  • Kotaro Hayashi
  • Takuma Nishimura

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.1 - 1.3. Machida Zelvia are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.4 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.1 : 1.3

Match Outcome Probability

32.7%
28.4%
38.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win
Draw
Machida Zelvia Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Shimizu S-Pulse Goal Distribution

29.0%
0
34.2%
1
20.5%
2
7.9%
3
3.8%
4+

Machida Zelvia Goal Distribution

25.8%
0
33.9%
1
22.0%
2
9.9%
3
4.8%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 71.2%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Over 3.5 25.2%
Over 4.5 13.7%
Under 1.5 28.9%
Under 2.5 53.7%
Under 3.5 74.8%
Under 4.5 86.3%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Shimizu S-Pulse logo Shimizu S-Pulse Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Yuya Oki 6.7
90
4 Sodai Hasukawa 6.7
90
5 Kengo Kitazume 6.5
74
7 Capixaba 7.1
90
19 Kai Matsuzaki 7.2
68
23 Koya Kitagawa 7.2
78
33 Takashi Inui 7.5
90
36 Zento Uno 7.1
78
41 Kento Haneda 6.9
46
70 Sen Takagi 6.6
90
98 Matheus Bueno 7.1
90

Bench

11 Hikaru Nakahara 6.6
12
14 Reon Yamahara 6.7
16
17 Masaki Yumiba N/A -
21 Shinya Yajima 6.6
22
47 Yudai Shimamoto N/A -
55 Motoki Nishihara N/A -
66 Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi 7.0
44
71 Yui Inokoshi N/A -
99 Douglas Tanque 7.5
12

Machida Zelvia logo Machida Zelvia Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Kosei Tani 6.3
90
3 Gen Shoji 7.2
90
5 Ibrahim Drešević 6.3
90
6 Henry Heroki Mochizuki 7.3
90
8 Keiya Sento 7.3
82
10 Sang-ho Na 7.6
59
16 Hiroyuki Mae 7.4
90
20 Takuma Nishimura 7.8
82
26 Kotaro Hayashi 7.7
90
50 Daihachi Okamura 6.7
90
90 Oh Se-Hun 6.8
59

Bench

9 Shota Fujio 6.5
31
13 Tatsuya Morita N/A -
15 Mitchell Duke 6.6
31
18 Hokuto Shimoda 6.6
8
22 Takaya Numata 6.6
8
30 Yuki Nakashima N/A -
39 Byron Vásquez N/A -
49 Kanji Kuwayama N/A
1
99 Daigo Takahashi N/A -

Match Statistics

2.1 Expected Goals (xG) 1.1
61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
8 Fouls 17
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Ibrahim Drešević
4
Takashi Inui
3
Takuma Nishimura
3
Koya Kitagawa
2
Zento Uno
2
Matheus Bueno
2
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
2
Sang-ho Na
2
Kengo Kitazume
1
Kai Matsuzaki
1
Gen Shoji
1
Kotaro Hayashi
1
Key Passes
Keiya Sento
3
Takuma Nishimura
3
Capixaba
2
Kai Matsuzaki
2
Yuya Oki
1
Koya Kitagawa
1
Takashi Inui
1
Zento Uno
1
Matheus Bueno
1
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
1
Sang-ho Na
1
Kotaro Hayashi
1
Oh Se-Hun
1
Tackles Won
Gen Shoji
2
Keiya Sento
2
Hiroyuki Mae
2
Kotaro Hayashi
2
Capixaba
1
Kento Haneda
1
Sen Takagi
1
Ibrahim Drešević
1
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
1
Daihachi Okamura
1
Interceptions
Hiroyuki Mae
3
Zento Uno
1
Kento Haneda
1
Ibrahim Drešević
1
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
1
Sang-ho Na
1
Kotaro Hayashi
1