Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras

Serie A

Finished
0 - 1
04 May 2025
  • Vitor Roque

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.9 - 1.4. Palmeiras are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.9 : 1.4

Match Outcome Probability

25.9%
28.1%
46.0%
Vasco da Gama Win
Draw
Palmeiras Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Vasco da Gama Goal Distribution

35.9%
0
34.3%
1
17.0%
2
5.7%
3
1.9%
4+

Palmeiras Goal Distribution

24.1%
0
34.2%
1
23.7%
2
11.0%
3
5.3%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 2.5 42.6%
Over 1.5 68.4%
Over 3.5 22.1%
Over 4.5 11.3%
Under 2.5 57.4%
Under 1.5 31.6%
Under 3.5 77.8%
Under 4.5 88.7%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Vasco da Gama logo Vasco da Gama Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Léo Jardim 6.3
90
3 Tchê Tchê 6.8
67
6 Lucas Piton 7.1
90
17 Nuno Moreira 7.0
67
25 Hugo Moura 6.6
90
38 João Victor 7.3
90
43 Lucas Freitas 6.9
42
45 Loide Augusto 6.8
42
77 Rayan 7.2
90
85 Mateus Carvalho 7.3
83
96 Paulo Henrique 7.5
90

Bench

2 José Luis Rodríguez N/A -
8 Jair N/A -
12 Victor Luis N/A -
13 Daniel Fuzato N/A -
15 Benjamín Garré 6.5
48
18 Paulinho 6.8
23
20 Juan Sforza N/A -
21 Jean David N/A -
28 Adson 7.0
23
29 Lucas Oliveira N/A -
44 Luiz Gustavo 6.5
48
90 Alex Teixeira 6.6
7

Palmeiras logo Palmeiras Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Bruno Fuchs 7.6
90
4 Agustín Giay 8.1
90
7 Felipe Anderson 7.0
60
8 Richard Ríos 7.0
80
9 Vitor Roque 7.6
75
15 Gustavo Gómez 7.5
90
17 Facundo Torres 7.2
60
21 Weverton 7.4
90
22 Joaquín Piquerez 7.5
90
32 Emiliano Martínez 7.4
90
41 Estêvão 7.9
80

Bench

5 Aníbal Moreno 6.8
10
6 Vanderlan N/A -
10 Paulinho 6.7
30
12 Mayke N/A -
14 Marcelo Lomba N/A -
18 Maurício N/A -
23 Raphael Veiga N/A -
26 Murilo N/A -
30 Lucas Evangelista 6.6
10
31 Luighi Hanri N/A -
40 Allan Andrade Elias 6.8
30
42 José López 6.6
15

Match Statistics

0.8 Expected Goals (xG) 1.1
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 11
11 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Rayan
3
Felipe Anderson
3
Joaquín Piquerez
3
Nuno Moreira
2
Richard Ríos
2
João Victor
1
Lucas Freitas
1
Loide Augusto
1
Mateus Carvalho
1
Paulo Henrique
1
Bruno Fuchs
1
Vitor Roque
1
Gustavo Gómez
1
Emiliano Martínez
1
Estêvão
1
Key Passes
Estêvão
5
Rayan
2
Agustín Giay
2
Facundo Torres
2
Lucas Piton
1
Nuno Moreira
1
Loide Augusto
1
Paulo Henrique
1
Richard Ríos
1
Vitor Roque
1
Gustavo Gómez
1
Joaquín Piquerez
1
Tackles Won
João Victor
4
Paulo Henrique
3
Lucas Piton
2
Hugo Moura
2
Mateus Carvalho
2
Agustín Giay
2
Emiliano Martínez
2
Bruno Fuchs
1
Richard Ríos
1
Gustavo Gómez
1
Joaquín Piquerez
1
Interceptions
Hugo Moura
2
Agustín Giay
2
Lucas Piton
1
Loide Augusto
1
Mateus Carvalho
1
Bruno Fuchs
1
Joaquín Piquerez
1