Grêmio vs Santos

Serie A

  • Cristian Olivera
Finished
1 - 0
04 May 2025

Grêmio vs Santos Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.4 - 1.0. Grêmio are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.4 : 1.0

Match Outcome Probability

45.6%
26.5%
27.9%
Grêmio Win
Draw
Santos Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Grêmio Goal Distribution

22.1%
0
33.1%
1
24.5%
2
11.7%
3
6.3%
4+

Santos Goal Distribution

30.6%
0
34.8%
1
19.2%
2
6.8%
3
2.3%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 73.5%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Over 3.5 25.3%
Over 4.5 13.4%
Under 1.5 26.5%
Under 2.5 51.4%
Under 3.5 74.7%
Under 4.5 86.6%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Grêmio logo Grêmio Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Tiago Volpi 6.8
90
3 Wagner Leonardo 7.8
90
6 Gustavo Cuéllar 7.1
70
8 Edenilson 6.7
46
10 Franco Cristaldo 7.3
61
17 Dodi 7.0
90
21 Jemerson 7.7
90
22 Martin Braithwaite 6.8
89
23 Marlon 7.2
90
34 Igor Schlemper 7.5
90
99 Cristian Olivera 7.3
90

Bench

2 João Lucas N/A -
4 Walter Kannemann 6.5 -
11 Miguel Monsalve 6.7
29
12 Gabriel Grando N/A -
14 Nathan N/A -
15 Camilo 6.9
20
18 João Pedro N/A -
19 Matías Arezo N/A
1
25 Lucas Esteves N/A -
44 Viery Fernandes Santos Lopes 6.6
1
47 Alysson Edward 6.9
44
77 André Henrique N/A -

Santos logo Santos Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Zé Ivaldo 7.3
90
5 João Schmidt 7.4
83
7 Y. Soteldo 7.8
90
8 T. Rincón 7.2
90
14 Luan Peres 7.4
90
16 Thaciano 6.9
90
25 Luisão 6.8
82
31 G. Escobar 7.7
75
32 B. Rollheiser 6.8
62
36 Deivid Washington 6.7
75
77 Gabriel Brazão 6.5
90

Bench

41 Mateus Xavier 6.6
7
1 João Paulo N/A -
3 João Basso N/A -
4 Gil N/A -
9 Tiquinho Soares 6.8
15
13 Aderlan N/A -
20 Hyan N/A -
21 Diego Pituca N/A -
29 L. Godoy N/A -
38 Kevyson 6.4
15
44 João Pedro Chermont 7.0
8
49 Gabriel Bontempo 6.6
28

Match Statistics

0.4 Expected Goals (xG) 0.8
45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
10 Fouls 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 3

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Cristian Olivera
3
Zé Ivaldo
3
Y. Soteldo
3
Deivid Washington
3
João Schmidt
2
Martin Braithwaite
1
Marlon
1
Igor Schlemper
1
Thaciano
1
Key Passes
Y. Soteldo
4
Franco Cristaldo
3
B. Rollheiser
2
Martin Braithwaite
1
T. Rincón
1
Luan Peres
1
Deivid Washington
1
Tackles Won
Gustavo Cuéllar
4
Zé Ivaldo
4
Marlon
3
G. Escobar
3
Jemerson
2
Igor Schlemper
2
Cristian Olivera
2
João Schmidt
2
Thaciano
2
Luisão
2
Edenilson
1
Franco Cristaldo
1
Y. Soteldo
1
Interceptions
G. Escobar
5
Marlon
3
Igor Schlemper
2
Thaciano
2
Wagner Leonardo
1
Edenilson
1
Jemerson
1
Martin Braithwaite
1
Luan Peres
1
Luisão
1
Deivid Washington
1