Bahia vs Botafogo

Serie A

  • Cauly
Finished
1 - 0
04 May 2025

Bahia vs Botafogo Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.5 - 0.8. Bahia are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.5 : 0.8

Match Outcome Probability

54.4%
26.5%
19.2%
Bahia Win
Draw
Botafogo Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Bahia Goal Distribution

20.2%
0
33.2%
1
26.4%
2
12.7%
3
6.5%
4+

Botafogo Goal Distribution

40.7%
0
33.8%
1
14.1%
2
3.9%
3
1.1%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 69.1%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Over 3.5 20.9%
Over 4.5 11.1%
Under 1.5 30.9%
Under 2.5 57.2%
Under 3.5 79.0%
Under 4.5 88.9%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Bahia logo Bahia Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
6 Jean Lucas 6.8
90
8 Cauly 7.9
80
9 Luciano Rodríguez 6.8
62
10 Everton Ribeiro 7.5
62
14 Erick 7.0
90
16 Erick Pulga 7.6
84
19 Caio Alexandre 7.2
62
21 Santiago Ramos Mingo 7.8
90
22 Marcos Felipe 7.7
90
33 David Duarte 7.5
90
46 Luciano Juba 7.6
90

Bench

1 Danilo Fernandes N/A -
3 Gabriel Xavier 6.9
6
5 Rezende N/A -
11 Rodrigo Nestor N/A -
7 Ademir 6.8
28
12 Willian José 7.0
28
15 Michel Araújo 6.8
10
25 Iago Borduchi N/A -
26 Nicolás Acevedo 6.7
28
37 Kayky N/A -
77 Tiago N/A -
83 Fred Lippert N/A -

Botafogo logo Botafogo Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Vitinho 6.4
70
6 Patrick de Paula 6.8
57
7 Artur 6.8
83
12 John Victor 5.7
90
17 Marlon Freitas 6.9
90
28 Newton 7.0
90
32 Jair Paula 6.9
90
39 Gonzalo Mastriani 7.5
70
57 David Ricardo 7.0
90
66 Cuiabano 7.0
70
99 Igor Jesus 7.0
90

Bench

21 Marçal 6.5 -
4 Mateo Ponte 6.8
20
5 Danilo Barbosa N/A -
9 Rwan 6.7
20
13 Alex Telles 7.5
33
16 Nathan Fernandes 6.8
20
18 Kauê N/A -
24 Léo Linck N/A -
25 Allan N/A -
33 Elias Manoel N/A -
47 Jeffinho 7.1
7
63 Vinicius Lima Serafim N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
11 Fouls 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1
2 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Igor Jesus
6
Gonzalo Mastriani
3
Cauly
2
Erick Pulga
2
Artur
2
Jean Lucas
1
Erick
1
David Duarte
1
Jair Paula
1
Key Passes
Everton Ribeiro
2
Gonzalo Mastriani
2
Jean Lucas
1
Cauly
1
Erick Pulga
1
Caio Alexandre
1
Luciano Juba
1
Marlon Freitas
1
Cuiabano
1
Igor Jesus
1
Tackles Won
Everton Ribeiro
3
Erick
2
Luciano Juba
2
Artur
2
Luciano Rodríguez
1
Caio Alexandre
1
Patrick de Paula
1
Newton
1
David Ricardo
1
Interceptions
Caio Alexandre
3
Erick Pulga
2
Santiago Ramos Mingo
2
Luciano Juba
2
Marlon Freitas
2
Jean Lucas
1
Cauly
1
Erick
1
David Duarte
1
Patrick de Paula
1
Artur
1
Gonzalo Mastriani
1
David Ricardo
1
Cuiabano
1