Palmeiras vs São Paulo

Serie A

  • Vitor Roque
Finished
1 - 0
11 May 2025

Palmeiras vs São Paulo Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.4 - 0.9. Palmeiras are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.4 : 0.9

Match Outcome Probability

48.6%
28.0%
23.4%
Palmeiras Win
Draw
São Paulo Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Palmeiras Goal Distribution

22.6%
0
34.4%
1
24.6%
2
11.2%
3
5.7%
4+

São Paulo Goal Distribution

37.2%
0
34.3%
1
16.3%
2
5.0%
3
1.7%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 68.6%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Over 3.5 21.7%
Over 4.5 11.4%
Under 1.5 31.4%
Under 2.5 57.7%
Under 3.5 78.3%
Under 4.5 88.6%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Palmeiras logo Palmeiras Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Bruno Fuchs 7.5
90
4 Agustín Giay 7.2
90
8 Richard Ríos 6.8
62
15 Gustavo Gómez 7.8
90
21 Weverton 6.9
90
5 Aníbal Moreno 7.1
79
10 Paulinho 7.3
65
22 Joaquín Piquerez 7.3
90
40 Allan Andrade Elias 6.7
62
41 Estêvão 7.5
79
42 José López 7.2
90

Bench

7 Felipe Anderson 7.6
28
9 Vitor Roque 7.3
11
17 Facundo Torres N/A -
2 Marcos Rocha N/A -
6 Vanderlan N/A -
12 Mayke N/A -
14 Marcelo Lomba N/A -
18 Maurício 6.5
25
23 Raphael Veiga 6.8
11
26 Murilo N/A -
30 Lucas Evangelista 7.0
28
32 Emiliano Martínez N/A -

São Paulo logo São Paulo Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
18 Wendell 6.7
26
20 Marcos Antônio 6.9
75
23 Rafael 6.8
90
25 Alisson 6.9
90
28 Alan Franco 7.0
90
47 Matheus Alves Nascimento 6.8
55
6 Cédric Soares 6.6
55
11 Ferreira 8.0
75
17 André Silva 6.9
90
22 Ruan 7.8
90
32 Nahuel Ferraresi 7.0
90

Bench

48 Lucas Ferreira 6.2
35
5 Robert Arboleda N/A -
8 Oscar 6.4
35
10 Luciano 6.6
15
13 Enzo Díaz 7.1
64
15 Rodriguinho N/A -
21 Damián Bobadilla N/A -
29 Pablo Maia 6.6
15
35 Sabino N/A -
45 Lucca Marques Alencar N/A -
49 Ryan Francisco N/A -
93 Jandrei N/A -

Match Statistics

1.4 Expected Goals (xG) 0.6
57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
12 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Paulinho
3
André Silva
3
Richard Ríos
2
Estêvão
2
José López
2
Ferreira
2
Gustavo Gómez
1
Aníbal Moreno
1
Key Passes
Allan Andrade Elias
2
Cédric Soares
2
Agustín Giay
1
Paulinho
1
Joaquín Piquerez
1
José López
1
Ferreira
1
André Silva
1
Nahuel Ferraresi
1
Tackles Won
Ruan
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
4
Aníbal Moreno
3
Agustín Giay
2
Joaquín Piquerez
2
José López
2
Marcos Antônio
2
Richard Ríos
1
Gustavo Gómez
1
Alan Franco
1
Matheus Alves Nascimento
1
Ferreira
1
Interceptions
Joaquín Piquerez
3
Gustavo Gómez
2
José López
2
Alisson
2
Agustín Giay
1
Richard Ríos
1
Allan Andrade Elias
1
Alan Franco
1
Ferreira
1
André Silva
1
Ruan
1
Nahuel Ferraresi
1