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Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Premiership

  • Callum Slattery
  • Luke Armstrong (2)
Finished
3 - 0
14 May 2025

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.4 - 1.1. Motherwell are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.4 : 1.1

Match Outcome Probability

43.5%
25.7%
30.8%
Motherwell Win
Draw
Kilmarnock Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Motherwell Goal Distribution

21.4%
0
32.5%
1
24.0%
2
12.2%
3
6.4%
4+

Kilmarnock Goal Distribution

27.3%
0
33.5%
1
20.9%
2
8.5%
3
3.5%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 76.0%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Over 3.5 28.4%
Over 4.5 16.0%
Under 1.5 24.0%
Under 2.5 48.1%
Under 3.5 71.6%
Under 4.5 84.0%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Motherwell logo Motherwell Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Stephen O'Donnell 8.6
90
3 Steve Seddon 7.5
90
7 Tom Sparrow 6.8
78
8 Callum Slattery 7.5
88
11 Andy Halliday 7.5
90
12 Harrison Paton 6.7
46
13 Aston Oxborough 7.3
90
15 Dan Casey 7.5
90
23 Ewan Wilson 7.1
90
38 Lennon Miller 7.4
88
52 Tony Watt 6.8
63

Bench

6 Davor Zdravkovski N/A
2
24 Moses Ebiye 6.7
27
54 Kai Andrews N/A -
55 Tawanda Maswanhise N/A -
56 Dominic Thompson 6.4
12
58 Will Dickson N/A
2
59 Luke Armstrong 8.5
44
88 Ellery Balcombe N/A -
90 Jair Tavares N/A -

Kilmarnock logo Kilmarnock Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Kieran O'Hara 6.9
90
3 Corrie Ndaba 6.9
90
5 Lewis Mayo 6.8
90
6 Robbie Deas 5.6
29
9 Kyle Vassell 6.7
46
11 Danny Armstrong 7.3
71
12 David Watson 6.6
90
15 Fraser Murray 6.7
89
17 Stuart Findlay 6.6
90
19 Bruce Anderson 6.5
46
22 Liam Donnelly 7.3
90

Bench

18 Innes Cameron N/A -
7 Rory McKenzie 6.2
14
14 Gary Mackay-Steven N/A -
20 Robby McCrorie N/A -
21 Calvin Ramsay 5.9
19
23 Marley Watkins 6.3
44
24 Bobby Wales N/A -
31 Liam Polworth 6.3
30
37 Cole Burke N/A
1

Match Statistics

2.8 Expected Goals (xG) 0.7
69% Possession 31%
24 Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
11 Fouls 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
2 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Callum Slattery
5
Liam Donnelly
5
Tom Sparrow
3
Danny Armstrong
3
Lennon Miller
2
Stephen O'Donnell
1
Steve Seddon
1
Andy Halliday
1
Harrison Paton
1
Dan Casey
1
Ewan Wilson
1
Tony Watt
1
Corrie Ndaba
1
Kyle Vassell
1
David Watson
1
Fraser Murray
1
Bruce Anderson
1
Key Passes
Stephen O'Donnell
3
Tony Watt
3
Dan Casey
2
Ewan Wilson
2
Lennon Miller
2
Danny Armstrong
2
Fraser Murray
2
Steve Seddon
1
Andy Halliday
1
Harrison Paton
1
Corrie Ndaba
1
Kyle Vassell
1
Bruce Anderson
1
Liam Donnelly
1
Tackles Won
Liam Donnelly
5
David Watson
4
Lennon Miller
2
Corrie Ndaba
2
Lewis Mayo
2
Andy Halliday
1
Ewan Wilson
1
Robbie Deas
1
Danny Armstrong
1
Fraser Murray
1
Interceptions
Lewis Mayo
3
Stuart Findlay
3
Stephen O'Donnell
1
Callum Slattery
1
Andy Halliday
1
Harrison Paton
1
Dan Casey
1
Lennon Miller
1
Robbie Deas
1
Danny Armstrong
1
David Watson
1