Lecce vs Napoli

Serie A

Finished
0 - 1
03 May 2025
  • Giacomo Raspadori

Lecce vs Napoli Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.5 - 1.7. Napoli are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.2 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.5 : 1.7

Match Outcome Probability

10.3%
21.4%
68.3%
Lecce Win
Draw
Napoli Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Lecce Goal Distribution

51.9%
0
27.5%
1
8.6%
2
1.1%
3
0.3%
4+

Napoli Goal Distribution

16.5%
0
29.3%
1
27.2%
2
16.0%
3
10.6%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 67.8%
Over 2.5 41.9%
Over 3.5 21.4%
Over 4.5 13.3%
Under 1.5 32.2%
Under 2.5 58.1%
Under 3.5 78.5%
Under 4.5 86.7%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Lecce logo Lecce Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
4 Kialonda Gaspar 7.5
90
6 Federico Baschirotto 7.3
90
9 Nikola Krstović 6.6
90
12 Frédéric Guilbert 6.6
62
25 Antonino Gallo 7.0
90
29 Lassana Coulibaly 6.7
90
30 Wladimiro Falcone 6.7
90
37 Jesper Karlsson 6.9
46
50 Santiago Pierotti 6.7
84
75 Balthazar Pierret 6.9
65
77 Mohamed Kaba 6.6
46

Bench

1 Christian Früchtl N/A -
5 Medon Berisha 6.9
25
7 Tete Morente 6.9
44
8 Hamza Rafia N/A -
10 Konan N'Dri 6.8
6
11 Nicola Sansone N/A -
14 Þórir Jóhann Helgason 7.0
44
17 Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga 6.9
28
20 Ylber Ramadani N/A -
22 Lameck Banda N/A -
32 Jasper Samooja N/A -
44 Tiago Gabriel N/A -
99 Marco Sala N/A -

Napoli logo Napoli Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Alex Meret 7.0
90
8 Scott McTominay 7.1
90
11 Romelu Lukaku 6.8
87
13 Amir Rrahmani 7.7
90
17 Mathías Olivera 7.8
90
21 Matteo Politano 7.2
88
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo 7.0
90
37 Leonardo Spinazzola 7.3
90
68 Stanislav Lobotka 7.0
54
81 Giacomo Raspadori 7.4
79
99 André Zambo Anguissa 7.2
90

Bench

6 Billy Gilmour 6.8
36
9 Noah Okafor N/A -
14 Nikita Contini N/A -
15 Philip Billing 6.9
11
16 Rafa Marín N/A -
18 Giovanni Simeone N/A
3
26 Cyril Ngonge N/A
2
29 Luis Hasa N/A -
30 Pasquale Mazzocchi N/A -
96 Simone Scuffet N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
11 Fouls 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Giacomo Raspadori
4
Nikola Krstović
2
Lassana Coulibaly
2
Matteo Politano
2
Kialonda Gaspar
1
André Zambo Anguissa
1
Key Passes
Kialonda Gaspar
1
Jesper Karlsson
1
Santiago Pierotti
1
Scott McTominay
1
Amir Rrahmani
1
Matteo Politano
1
Tackles Won
Matteo Politano
2
Federico Baschirotto
1
Antonino Gallo
1
Lassana Coulibaly
1
Santiago Pierotti
1
Balthazar Pierret
1
Amir Rrahmani
1
Mathías Olivera
1
Leonardo Spinazzola
1
Stanislav Lobotka
1
Giacomo Raspadori
1
Interceptions
Leonardo Spinazzola
4
Federico Baschirotto
2
Kialonda Gaspar
1
Scott McTominay
1
Amir Rrahmani
1
Mathías Olivera
1
Matteo Politano
1
André Zambo Anguissa
1